I've got a new blog of my own where I posted this article today, I thought I would post it here on LTU's site as well. If you want to see my other posts, i can be found at:
http://wizardmickey-poker.blogspot.com/
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Overplaying QK is a big pet Peave of mine, players who do it are rarely getting their money in good. I ran some analysis of that hand vs some ranges and I want to share them with you to help you think about your play with this hand. Don't get me wrong, QK is a top hand, BUT.. vs the ranges that want to play big or all in pots, its a horribly dominated hand.
Here's some #'s vs the top 10% of hands, QK holds 39% equity.
Vs the top 5% of hands which are the one that REALLY want to get all in and play an all in pot, you have a 30% hand equity. You are dominated by 55% of those hands which mean you are 22.9% equity vs 6 of the 11 top 5% of hands. This is why QK is a horrible hand vs a raise.
In all reality, consider the hand ranges that people want to shove with, can you think of ANY that you are ahead of? I Can think of 1... KJ. other than that, youre a slight underdog to any pair, any Ace, and dominated by AK, AQ, AA KK QQ. Yuck. I like to get my money in good.
When is this hand good to play, or get it all in with?
1- small stack shoves and youre sitting there with a big stack 4-5x the small stacks size,
2- youre the first one in from late pos with either a large stack or small stack and want to pickup the blinds
Other than that
I use it when I am the first one in from late pos, just picking up blinds, but not intending to call an ALLIN bet.
Otherwise, I dont have whole lot of use for this dominated hand, often times if you flop 2 pair, youre facing a str8 or str8 draw, just so many ways for it to get you in trouble. Try to shy from playing big pots with this crack hand. Youre rarely ahead and youll just get snapped off and be wondering what you were thinking getting your money in with that hand.
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